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Free highlight -
May 15th 2012
The
Euro-zone situation will
continue to dominate in
the short term. The
political stand-off is
liable to continue in
the very short term as
Greek politicians and
Euro-zone policymakers
continue to face vital
decisions, especially
given the huge
longer-term impact.
There will be strong
pressure on the Greek
SYRIZA party to
backtrack and join a
government and they will
have to make a
calculation whether
there will be a greater
political benefit from
forcing fresh elections
and hoping to force
concessions or backing
down.
Euro officials with a particular focus on Germany will have to
decide whether there is a greater cost to effectively pushing
Greece out of the Euro area or whether the risks are too high
and that concessions should be made to keep Greece within the
Euro area. While this game of brinkmanship continues, it will be
very difficult for the Euro to gain sustained relief, especially
with fears over further capital outflows. Fresh elections in
Greece would risk a prolonged period of intense political
uncertainty which would not provide Euro support.
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1. Daily currency strategies
Markets are not always rational and consensus expectations are often
well wide of the mark.
By examining events and trends in detail, it is possible to indentify excellent risk/reward
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Markets are not always rational and consensus expectations
for economic releases are often
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By examining events and economic trends in detail, it is possible to indentify excellent risk/reward
opportunities ahead of economic data releases and key events. The
reports are e-mailed to you ahead of key events to keep you ahead of the
markets.
Example: The Reserve Bank of
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release. In the event, rates were left on hold and the Australian dollar
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